For the first time in two years, Labour has jumped ahead of National in the latest Taxpayers’ Union-Curia Poll.

The results show Christopher Luxon dropping into the 20s for preferred Prime Minister which spells bad news for the Government heading into 2025.

The poll results came ahead of the upcoming political year which will be ramping up next week. Both Luxon and Act’s David Seymour will deliver major speeches, and politicians will attend annual Rātana celebrations. 

The poll which took place between Jan 9th and Jan 13th shows Labour at 30.9%, up 4 percentage points compared to December’s results. National has fallen by 4.6 points to 29.6%. 

This is the first time since April 2023 that Labour has been in front of National in this poll. 

Act is on 10.8%, down 2.2 points, the Greens are on 9.5%, up 1.2 points, New Zealand First is at 8.1%, up 2.7 points, and Te Pati Māori is on 5.3%, down 0.2. 

If this poll were to translate to seats in parliament Labour would get 39, the Greens 12, and Te Pati Māori 7. That’s 58 for the centre-left. 

National would get 38, Act would get14, and New Zealand First would have 10. For the current governing parties, which would still be enough to govern.

Although the Labour party vote is up Chris Hipkins has fallen 4.6% as the preferred Prime Minister.

National’s Luxon is also down 2.6 points to 24.5%, while Seymour is up slightly (0.5) to 6.3%, New Zealand First’s Winston Peters has jumped 3 points to 8.8% and Chlöe Swarbrick is at 8.5%, which has gone up 4 points.

 

 

Photo Credit: PBS